Will Decreased College Attendance Hurt Democrats at the Polls?

College is a place where:

  • There is an endless supply of young, impressionable minds most of whom are softened up by 12 years of public schooling.
  • Many of those young, impressionable people turn into radical leftists.
  • Those young radical leftists are registered to vote and brought to the polls.

On a college campus during an election, there are always Democrats trying to register people to vote, under the assumption that they’re mostly Democrats.

College campuses are big sources of support for Democrats.

With such a high number of students not going to college campuses this fall, this means tons of them will not be turned into radical leftists, which is great, but the more important effect is, lots of them will be less likely to vote absent the peer pressures of a college campus environment.

I’m not inclined to put a ton of stock into these figures, but it at least gets the idea out there:

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He’s talking about 1.75m student votes nationally, not just in Texas.

The effects of far fewer students on college campuses this fall will not be good for Democrats. It’s way too early to tell just how much it will affect the Biden ticket, though.

Another related variable here is the reduced number of out-of-state leftwing students who attend college in red states. For example, at the University of Iowa, where I went, there were tons of students from Chicagoland, and many of us got registered to vote in Iowa for the 2012 presidential election. Johnson County, where the U of Iowa is located, was the bluest county in the state of Iowa in 2012. It accounted for over 30% (27k) of Obama’s 88k vote margin of victory in the state.

Now, I’m not saying Iowa City would have voted red if not for all the Chicagoland students whose votes were counted in Iowa rather than their home state of Illinois. They didn’t account for all of Obama’s 27k vote margin in the county. I just want to illustrate the effects out-of-state college students can have on an election.

This usually happens every four years on college campuses all across the country. Multiply the Iowa example by 100, 200, 300? I don’t know. Maybe more.

But now, in 2020, with potentially millions of young, impressionable college students who won’t be on campus, won’t be getting radicalized, and won’t then getting registered to vote–it can’t be good for Democrats.

The Chronicle of Higher Education estimates that only 23.5% of colleges in the US will be either fully or primarily in-person this fall:

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30% will be primarily or fully online. That’s out of 3,000 universities studied.

14% will be “hybrid,” but they don’t explain what that means. I’m assuming half-online, half-in-person. I also don’t know what “Other” means, either.

There’s no telling how the 26% “TBD” will break down, but if it breaks down similar to how the “already determined” schools did, it will be another 11.5% added to fully or primarily online, 9% added to fully or primarily in-person, and 5.4% added to hybrid.

Which would mean at least 40% of colleges will be fully or primarily online this fall.

It’s still too early to tell what effect this will have on the election.

But think of all the students who won’t be getting indoctrinated with far-left propaganda, and who won’t be getting registered and then peer-pressured to vote Democrat.

It can’t be a good thing for the Democrats, can it?

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