Don’t Expect the Media to Call the Election on Election Night

The media will not declare a winner on election night. I can almost guarantee that. Well, unless Biden wins on election night. Then it’ll be a wrap, a done deal, and any talk of waiting for mail-in ballots to be counted will be treated as “rejecting the results of the election,” “undermining the democratic process,” etc. etc.

If Trump is winning and declares victory, the media will point out that Biden refuses to concede, and since Biden is a Democrat, the media will portray Biden as reasonable and in the right. The media always takes the Democrats’ side no matter what, as you and I know.

You can get away with just about anything if the media has your back.

The media will not be treating the results like they normally do. They will not be saying “with 87% reporting in Michigan, we are projecting Donald Trump the winner” etc. They will portray election night as merely the beginning of the vote counting process. They’ll get viewers in the mindset that things will not be settled that night, even if Trump is up big.

The media and the Democrats will be working together. They’ve got a plan for how election night is going to go down, and they foreshadowed it yesterday with the “Red Mirage” stuff about how it’s going to appear Trump won big on election night, but then in the week following the election, mail-in ballots will slowly trickle in and pull Biden ahead of Trump. They will wait to see how many votes Biden needs in the key swing states, then they’ll get to work “counting” the mail-in votes. Their whole scheme to steal this election hinges on mail-in ballots, which are rife with potential for fraud.

For instance, how can election officials prevent people from voting twice? If I send in a mail-in ballot to one precinct, then vote in person on election day at another precinct, how are they going to catch the duplicate vote?

Former Nevada Senator Dean Heller (R) brought up this question in early August. An AP News article entitled “Elections official refutes claim that people can vote twice” actually provided few reassurances that there are safeguards in place to prevent people from voting twice, other than “it’s a felony to do so,” so obviously that settles it.

Here’s a few excerpts from the article:

Heller said that among his concerns was someone casting a vote by mail and then showing up at the polls to cast a ballot. Heller said he asked Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske what would happen if someone voted twice.

“I said, ‘That’s a felony. It has been for decades. What happens then?’ She says ‘Nothing,’” he said.

“We have an attorney general that won’t prosecute it,” Heller went on. “We had a former attorney general that was a Republican that refused to prosecute. So you can vote more than once.”

Cegavske’s office did not respond to questions about her conversation with Heller, but Deputy Secretary of State for Elections Wayne Thorley said, “Nevada has many protections in place to ensure elections are fair and accurate, including safeguards that ensure no voter is allowed to cast more than one ballot in any given election.”

Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford’s office said it “takes allegations of voter fraud extremely seriously” and “while voter fraud is rare, it undermines trust in our election system.”

What exactly are those “safeguards”?

Voters who are mailed a ballot in Nevada can only vote in person after they physically surrender their mailed ballot or sign an affirmation under penalty of perjury stating that they have not already voted, Thorley said.

This would seem to be a sensible solution: if you’re coming to vote in person on election day, then you have to bring your mail-in ballot that was mailed out to you prior to election day. No ifs, ands or buts. If a person shows up to the polls on election day and doesn’t have their mail-in ballot, sorry, take a hike.

But then there’s that exception to the rule: “or sign an affirmation under penalty of perjury that they have not already voted.” It’s that big “or” that’s the problem.

How will they know if you’ve already voted by mail? There would have to be a central vote-counting location where all the votes in the state are counted, and where names are recorded. It has to be digitized with all voters’ names crossed off the list after their ballots are counted, that way the system can throw out duplicate ballots.

And does anyone have any confidence that Democratic prosecutors will prosecute people who try to vote for Democrats more than once? Given this plus the backdoor option of “signing an affirmation under penalty of perjury that they have not already voted,” it’s hard to have a lot of confidence in states’ abilities to prevent double voting.

In 2017, the Government Accountability Institute (“GAI,” lol) conducted a study on duplicate voting in the 2016 election and found 7,271 instances of inter-state duplicate voting (meaning someone who voted in two states) and 1,200 instances of intra-state duplicate voting (meaning someone voted twice in the same state). Since the GAI was only granted access to voter rolls in 21 states, they extrapolated the figures out to the whole country and estimated they would have uncovered around 45,000 cases of duplicate voting, both inter- and intra-state combined.

45,000 fraudulent votes would not quite have been enough to swing the 2016 election, but it would have been damn close, as it was decided by just 79,646 votes between Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (10,704 in MI, 46,745 in PA, and 22,177 in WI).

But the 2016 election also didn’t have anywhere near the number of mail-in ballots we’re going to see this November. In fact, no election has ever had the number of mail-in votes we’re about to see this November. Most states are mailing out ballots to every single registered voter on their rolls for this election. This has never happened before.

The problem with this is that most states don’t have up-to-date voter rolls. That GAI study noted that there are tens of millions of improperly registered voters:

In 2012, Pew Research found 24 million (one in eight) voter registrations were either invalid or significantly inaccurate. About 1.8 million deceased voters were discovered on state voter rolls, and 2.75 million people were registered to vote in more than one state. These findings alone do not equate to voter fraud, but show a system rife with error and vulnerability

24 million incorrect voter registrations. That was from 2012, so hopefully those incorrect voter registrations have been purged from the rolls. But since 2012 there have no doubt been more deceased voters kept on the voter rolls, as well as people who have moved. This stuff has to be continually cleaned up, yet we have no assurances that it has been even as states prepare to mail out ballots to every last registered voter on their rolls.

As I read more of the GAI study, they detailed the system they used to detect duplicate voters:

GAI partnered with Simpatico Software Systems and Virtual DBS, Inc.to perform the state-to-state voter roll comparisons and duplicate voting matches. Simpatico is a U.S.-based company specializing in large-scale database analytics. Among other projects, it works with state governments by applying waste and fraud analyses to health and human services programs to achieve program integrity and taxpayer savings.

It’s great that they have technology to identify duplicate voters, but the million dollar question is, will this Simpatico software be used on election night this year and in the ensuing days to ensure there are no duplicate votes? The GAI used this software after the 2016 election was already in the books to retroactively search for voter fraud. I’m sure it helped to clean up voter rolls in preparation of 2020, but if this software or something like it is not being used during this election, it opens the door to widespread duplicate voting due to the massively increased numbers of mail-in ballots. This year it will be much easier than ever before to vote twice.

In 2016, the states didn’t mail out ballots to every last registered voter. This year, mail-in voting will be way up from 2016. The Florida primary, which was just a couple of weeks ago, saw over 2.1 million mail-in ballots compared to 1.3 million in 2016. However, in last month’s primary, there was no statewide race to boost turnout–i.e. Senator or Governor. Plus both the Democrat and Republican presidential nominations had already long been decided by the time last month’s Florida primary vote rolled around. In 2016, there was a Senate race and the Presidential nominations for both parties were still right in the thick of things, meaning turnout for 2020’s primary was lower than 2016’s–which in turn means we can expect a far greater number of mail-in ballots for November’s general election than the 2.1 million mail-in ballots filed for the August primary.

This GAI study was commissioned by President Trump in May 2017, not long after he took office. Thankfully Trump had the foresight back then to get to work cleaning up the voter rolls in preparation for the outrageous fraud Democrats were certain to be scheming up for 2020.

Unfortunately, however, the GAI study was only a study. We have no assurances that the instances of likely voter fraud identified by the study were ever addressed, since that’s up to the individual states. We have no assurances that the states followed the GAI study’s recommendations on cleaning up their voter rolls.

If the voter rolls are not meticulously kept up to date and accurate, then sending out mail-in ballots to everyone on the voter rolls becomes a massive opportunity for fraud. We could have not only duplicate voting but dead people voting, people voting on behalf of someone else who has moved, or “ballot harvesters” altering or destroying others’ ballots.

Ultimately we just have to hope the states can handle the mail-in voting process. Florida, for instance, mentioned in the Fox article above, has a great Republican governor who I’m sure Trump trusts to make sure there’s no funny business. You never know what kind of bullshit they’re going to pull down in Broward County–remember in 2018 that hilariously corrupt Democrat Brenda Snipes who was blatantly trying to steal the governor’s election from DeSantis and tilt it to the secretly homosexual meth-head Andrew Gillum? There’s still plenty of corrupt local Democratic officials to worry about in key states like Florida, but at least we have a Republican governor in office.

Not the case, however, for key states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Pennsylvania, unfortunately. On top of that, Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina, Maine and Virginia all have Democratic governors as well.

As far as the main swing states go, it’s Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire and Georgia with Republicans in office. I hate that the election might boil down to which states have corrupt or legitimate governors, but that’s where the Democrats have gone as a party. You can trust them about as far as you can throw them.

I hope my worst fears about the 2020 election go unrealized. I hope the mail-in fraud and dirty tricks are mostly limited to deep-blue cesspools like California, New York and Illinois, which won’t really affect the election much since those states are going Biden either way. I hope Republicans in swing states are on the ball when it comes to having legal teams ready to file injunctions in case, for instance, any Broward Bullshit goes down again.

Rick Scott’s campaign in 2018 laid out the blueprint for putting a stop to the fraudulent schemes: they filed a lawsuit against Brenda Snipes because she did not disclose how many ballots there were left to be counted in the days following the election. Fortunately the law requires that number to be disclosed, at least in Florida. Republicans in all of the key swing states must be all over this, otherwise Democrats will keep “counting” ballots until they find enough to win.

Be prepared for the worst on election night. The media will almost certainly refuse to call the election for Trump even if he’s up big. They’ll claim there’s too many mail-in ballots left to be counted.

That’s when the real fun will begin.

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